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It has been a while since I offered my stock pick newsletter, but I have now gone one better with my latest mechanical Trading System

  • 41% Return Since November 2007
  • 47% Win Percentage (Nov 07)
  • Max drawdown of 9% (Nov 07)
  • Blend of Ultra Long & Short Index ETFs
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  • Free registration to Zignals required
  • $0.00 per month
  • You will find this strategy in the Top 20 Trading Strategies Leaderboard in the Zignals Dashboard
  • The strategy is called "ETF Heaven - Medium" and was created by user "Z_Strategy"
  • Other strategies can be found by searching for component stocks in our MarketPlace or by searching for a user; 'Z_Strategy' or 'fallond'
  • I'll be posting new of other strategies for other markets as they become available. In particular, FX, Commodities, European and Indian Trading Systems

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    Tuesday, May 13, 2008

    What holds for Copper prices?

    What goes for copper, goes for technology stocks (and the market as a whole). After what looked to be a triple top for the commodity in 2007, the ever weakening dollar helped push an upside breakout of $375. Broadening wedges are hard to spot and if this is what's at play then a move back to $250 would appear the best case for the metal.

    However, as long as $375 holds then a run-of-the-mill breakout is to hand, with a projected target closer to $500 than $250.

    Election years are traditionally viewed as bullish for the market. However, the previous two have been anything but. The protracted Democratic nomination doesn't help given it's only the warm-up to the main event. Wall Street hates uncertainty and it's by no mean clear cut who has the edge coming into November (irrepsective of who wins the Democractic nomination).

    Political uncertainty and a strengthening dollar, both painted on the background of a weak global environment, suggests copper prices are likely to fall. This can be good and bad for technology stocks; falling prices imply falling demand (bad), but given this decline will likely be attributed to a rising dollar it should help technology products be more price competitive and help stimulate a recovery which would be good for the markets.

    The problem with this is it just might not happen until November's fight is done and dusted.


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