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It has been a while since I offered my stock pick newsletter, but I have now gone one better with my latest mechanical Trading System

  • 41% Return Since November 2007
  • 47% Win Percentage (Nov 07)
  • Max drawdown of 9% (Nov 07)
  • Blend of Ultra Long & Short Index ETFs
  • Trade Signals delivered by Email (EoD)
  • Free registration to Zignals required
  • $0.00 per month
  • You will find this strategy in the Top 20 Trading Strategies Leaderboard in the Zignals Dashboard
  • The strategy is called "ETF Heaven - Medium" and was created by user "Z_Strategy"
  • Other strategies can be found by searching for component stocks in our MarketPlace or by searching for a user; 'Z_Strategy' or 'fallond'
  • I'll be posting new of other strategies for other markets as they become available. In particular, FX, Commodities, European and Indian Trading Systems

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    Zignals Stock Alerts offer price, volume and fundamental alerts. Fundamental alerts include analyst projections, upgrades and downgrades delivered to your email address or SMS phone

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    Alerts also support the new Fundamental System created stocklists. Now you can combine a dynamic stock list created by the fundamental stock screener with a price and/or volume stock alert; for example - find when a dividend yielding stock of 5% or more has a bullish cross of a 50-day and 200-day MA.

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    Create your own stock screen for US, Canadian (soon), UK, India, NYSE Euronext, Frankfurt, Dublin or Australian stocks.

    Activate your stock screen by creating a Fundamental System. Fundamental Systems are a fund type which notify you at the end of each day of the changes in the stocks meeting the criteria of your scan.

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    Wednesday, April 09, 2008

    Nasdaq 200-day MA vs 50-day MAs

    The relationship between the number of stocks trading above the 200-day and 50-day MAs describes the internal health of an index. It is not an ideal indicator, with obvious spikes not necessarily correlating to inflections in the market. This is especially true for spike highs where the number of stocks trading above the 200-day MA is greater the number above the 50-day MA - a situation associated with an overbought market. It is not uncommon to see such spikes occur during a well established decline (and in the case of 2002 spike highs, near the end of the decline).

    The ratio smooths into a more rounded bottom when the number of stocks above the 50-day MA is greater than the number above the 200-day MA. This situation is a little more helpful in pin-pointing bottoms, especially when the ratio shows twice as many stocks above the 50-day MA than 200-day MA (i.e. a ratio of 0.50 or less).

    Currently there are just over twice as many Nasdaq stocks above their 50-day MA than 200-day MA (0.47) which favors higher prices over the next 6-months (when the next spike high can be expected). It is by no means a perfect indicator, but from a long term perspective there is definite value to be found for buyers at this time.

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