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    Tuesday, May 02, 2006

    The Next Commodity Wave

    Sourced this from Trader Mike. Article by John Partrige of Globeinvestor.com. Opinion of Jim Rogers, of Rogers International Commodities Index.

    "We're a lot closer to the bottom for agriculture than we are for copper," Mr. Rogers said a little breathlessly yesterday when reached mid-workout at a New York gym. "We have many, many, many percentage points to go on the upside."

    Take sugar. Even though it jumped by 60 per cent last year, making it the top performer among commodities, and is continuing its rapid rise in 2006, it is still below its record high, he said. Cotton and corn are both 50 to 60 per cent below their highs, while coffee is 70 per cent below its.
    John Partridge.

    Some things to consider with Agricultural commodity prices;

    * Seasonal price peaks occur in Spring and prices fall into Harvest.
    * High energy prices add cost to storage (and harvesting) expenses.

    Of the commodity charts listed below:

    [1] Coffee looks best positioned for multi-year gains.
    [2] Cocoa looks attractive as it trades near long term support.
    [3] Sugar is in need of a sizable pullback but the small pennant in the chart should break upside to push prices into a $22-26 range.

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